NFL Week 7 Betting Report: Key Trends and Insights
Week 7 of the NFL season brought significant movement in betting lines and results, with public bettors generally performing well but falling short of their Week 6 success. Underdogs were the sportsbooks’ best hope, particularly in the final matchup of the week where the Pittsburgh Steelers defeated the New York Jets—a crucial result for sportsbooks needing underdog covers.
Most Impactful Games of Week 7:
- Lions vs. Vikings: The Detroit Lions secured an important win as 1-point underdogs, surprising many bettors.
- Chiefs vs. 49ers: Kansas City, a rare underdog, won their matchup, marking a favorable result for sportsbooks that were heavily backing the 49ers to cover.
Significant Line Movements:
- Jets vs. Steelers: The Jets opened as 1.5-point underdogs against Pittsburgh, but line shifts saw them close as 1-point favorites after the news of Adams’ trade.
- Total points lines fluctuated across several games, driven by heavy betting activity and last-minute roster updates.
In general, bettors saw a solid performance in Week 7, with several favorite teams—most notably the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles—covering their spreads. This allowed some bettors to recoup losses from previous weeks.
NFC North Dominance NFC North teams emerged as standout performers in Week 7, boasting an impressive collective Against the Spread (ATS) record of 18-4 (82%).
- Minnesota Vikings: Undefeated at 5-0 ATS
- Chicago Bears: A strong 5-1 ATS
- Detroit Lions: A solid 4-1 ATS
- Green Bay Packers: Respectable at 4-2 ATS
Pittsburgh Steelers The Steelers continue to be one of the most reliable teams for bettors, maintaining a record of 24-16-1 ATS since the departure of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Their recent victory over the Jets, a 37-15 blowout, added to this profitable trend.
New York Jets The Jets, on the other hand, have struggled mightily—especially following matchups with the Buffalo Bills. They fell 37-15 to the Steelers in Week 7, adding to their abysmal 0-19 SU (straight up) and 1-18 ATS record in games immediately following a Bills matchup.
Looking Ahead As the NFL season progresses, the trends from Week 7 provide valuable insights for future betting strategies. Teams like the Steelers and those in the NFC North continue to outperform ATS, while the Jets’ struggles could serve as a cautionary tale for future betting considerations. Keep an eye on line movements and injury updates, as these factors heavily influence game outcomes and betting success.
